![]() if we could find a way to correctly analyze each and every horse’s recent odds patterns… ‘Value’ meaning that in order to reap the handsomest long-term benefit, setting a minimum acceptable odds range to make a wager on that horse. Victory, and when those patterns are combined with recent past performance the result becomes the ultimate cocktail mix for determining future performance, i.e., a win.īut remember, there was one other factor to Fabricand’s brilliant methodology: VALUE. **So, Fabricand found that past odds patterns contributed mightily to an upcoming ![]() In over 94% of the cases he studied, the runner’s performance leading up to the hope-to-cash-in race also indicated the promise of a coming victory. In otherwords, for a ‘smart money’ horse to win, Fabricand’s research showed that very seldom did a runner just suddenly reverse form and pop at a big price. It’s also important to note that in Fabricand’s work, he also used recent performance, class, speed, jock and trainer, etc. In testing over 200,000 races, he found several ‘tip-off’ odds patterns that he incorporated into his method. And while current tote action is often used by handicappers to determine if a betting ‘coup’ is in the works, Fabricand found that previous odds, usually going back no more than four races, was an even better indicator that a horse was being set up for a win. No, that doesn’t mean that every race has a smart-money contingent looking to cash in, but often enough, often enough at least to keep the clever in-the-know bettors in the clover, this smart money comes into play. You see, Fabricand and others knew that the game revolved largely around ‘smart’ money. Now Fabricand’s method was based on locating underbet favorites, but a careful read of his material demonstrated that the method could also be applied to higher priced horses as long as ‘value’ was present. Description It was a complex and time-consuming method that few horseplayers would have the patience for, but the fact is it did beat the races, and rather handily at that.Īnd what was the primary component of this winning method? Very simply, odds patterns.
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